城市群视角下大气污染空间效应和影响因素研究

Study on Spatial Effects and Influencing Factors of Air Pollution from the Perspective of Urban Agglomeration

摘要:

针对大气污染严峻现状和防治困难问题，分析影响大气污染的人文因素和自然因素显得尤为重要。选取我国京津冀、长三角和珠三角城市群为研究对象，以三大城市群43个城市2014-2017年面板数据为基础，利用空间自相关分析和基于STIRPAT模型的空间滞后模型和空间误差模型分析三大城市群大气污染的空间效应及影响因素。分析结果表明：三大城市群大气污染由人文因素和自然因素共同导致；历年各区域大气污染存在着明显的空间相关性和溢出效应；三大城市群大气污染关键影响因素存在较大差异。基于上述结论，提出各城市群生态环境改善的相应政策建议，从根本上加强污染防治，加快构建环境优、绿色低碳的世界级城市群。

Abstract:

In view of the severe situation of air pollution and the difficulties in its prevention and control, it is particularly important to analyze the human and natural factors affecting air pollution. Based on the panel data of 43 cities in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta, the spatial effects and influencing factors of atmospheric pollution in three urban agglomerations are analyzed by using spatial autocorrelation analysis and spatial lag model and spatial error model based on STIRPAT model. The results show that the air pollution of the three metropolitan agglomerations is caused by both human and natural factors; there are obvious spatial correlation and spillover effects in the air pollution of each region over the years; and there are great differences in the key influencing factors of the air pollution of the three metropolitan agglomerations. Based on the above conclusions, the corresponding policy suggestions for improving the ecological environment of urban agglomerations are put forward to fundamentally strengthen pollution prevention and control, and accelerate the construction of world-class urban agglomerations with excellent environment, green and low carbon.