治理群簇视阈下国家级新区人才流动预测及治理研究 --以雄安新区为例

Research on Talent Flow Forecast and Governance in National New District under the Perspective of Governance Clusters --Taking Xiong'an New Area as an example

摘要:

根据国家级新区各发展阶段的现实需求，动态匹配治理群簇是成功治理人才流动的关键。基于治理理论指导不同阶段人才流动的治理，设计了新区人才流动趋势预测方法，包括对应新区演进不同发展阶段的人才流动特征分析、影响因素筛选、预测模型构建和治理策略提出四个步骤.并以雄安新区为例开展了实践应用，一方面验证了该方法的合理性和可行性，另一方面也预测了雄安新区未来人才流动趋势，为当地设计具体的治理策略提供了参考。

Abstract:

According to the actual needs of the development stages of the national new district, dynamic matching of governance clusters is the key to successfully manage the flow of talents. Based on the theory of governance to guide the flow of talents in different stages, this paper designs the forecasting methods of talent flow trends in the new district, including the four stages of the analysis of talent flow characteristics, the selection of influencing factors, the construction of predictive models and the proposed governance strategies in different stages of the evolution of the new district. Xiong’an New Area is a case study, which verifies the rationality and feasibility of the method, and predicts the future talent flow trend of Xiong’an New Area, which provides a reference for designing specific governance strategies.