珠江－西江经济带绿色发展水平的时空差异及影响因素研究

Study on the Spatial and Temporal Differences and Influencing Factors of Green Development Level in the Zhujiang-Xijiang Economic Belt

摘要:

选取珠江－西江经济带21个市州为测度对象,通过建立其绿色发展评价指标体系,分析其时空差异特征和影响因素,研究显示：(1)2004—2016年珠江－西江经济带绿色发展总体水平整体呈上升趋势,但绿色发展水平差异明显,较低现象仍然突出。(2)其经济增长绿化度总体呈“先降后升”的发展趋势,在空间上表现出东高西低的分布规律；资源环境承载潜力由“内低外高”演变成“内高外低”的U字型形态,折射出区域产业结构转型较为困难；绿色投资与建设较高值区不断向外围区域迁移,高水平区所占幅域不断扩大；绿色发展水平综合评价近年也在稳步上升,其中高水平区域逐渐从西北部向东南部和中部转移。(3)相关分析得出,影响珠江－西江经济带绿色发展水平的主要因素为经济发展水平、产业结构类型、交通便捷程度、地形状况、资源状况、环保力度、生产规制等。(4)根据存在的问题,从经济发展、产业转型、绿色投资和政策引导等方面提出优化建议。

Abstract:

By taking 21 cities of the Zhujiang-Xijiang economic belt as the measurement object, the evaluation index system of the green development of the Zhujiang-Xijiang economic belt was established to comprehensively analyze the current situation and path of the green development of the region and explore its green development advantages to improve the level of the regional green development. The research results show that : (1) From 2004 to 2016, the green development level of the Pearl River-Xijiang Economic Belt showed an overall upward trend. The green development of all regions has improved to varying degrees. However, the regional green development is uneven and the development level is still low.(2)The Pearl River-Xijiang Economic Belt has a distinct hierarchical nature. The greening degree of economic growth shows the development trend of "decreasing first and then increasing", and it shows that distribution pattern of high in the east and low in the west. The index of carrying potential of resources and environment changed from low inside and high outside to U shape with low inside and high outside, which reflects the difficulty in transforming regional industrial structure; The higher value area of green investment and construction index is moving to the peripheral area, and the area of high level area is expanding; In addition, the comprehensive evaluation index of green development level has been rising steadily in recent years, among which the high-level area has gradually shifted from northwest to southeast and central.(3)Correlation analysis shows that the main factors affecting the green development level of the Pearl River-Xijiang Economic Belt include economic development level, industrial structure type, traffic convenience, topographical status, resource status, environmental protection, production regulation, etc.(4)According to the research results, the optimization proposals are proposed from the aspects of economic development, industrial transformation, green investment and policy guidance.