要素集聚对科技与金融耦合系统脆弱性的影响研究

Research on the Impact of Factors Agglomeration on Coupling System Vulnerability of Technology and Finance

摘要:

从外部环境、内部结构和耦合效益三个方面构建指标体系，测算省域2001-2017年科技与金融耦合系统脆弱性指数。先构建动态面板模型，研究表明：总体样本中，人才要素集聚能有效降低耦合脆弱性，技术要素呈正相关关系，其显著性相对较低；东部地区人才和金融资本集聚呈负相关关系，技术集聚呈正相关关系；中西部地区金融资本是耦合脆弱性降低的主要驱动力。再构建空间计量模型考虑空间影响：耦合脆弱性表现显著空间集聚状态，存在正向溢出效应，人才集聚能够降低周边地区耦合脆弱性，金融资本集聚则发挥阻滞效应。

Abstract:

Construct a index system from three aspects: external environment, internal structure and coupling benefits, and calculates the vulnerability index of provincial technology and finance coupling system from 2001 to 2017.Construct a dynamic panel model ,the research shows as follows: in the overall sample, talent agglomeration can effectively reduce the coupling vulnerability, but the technical agglomeration coefficient is positive with a relatively low significance; in the eastern region,talent and financial capital agglomeration have a negative correlation, but technology agglomeration has a positive correlation; in the central and western regions,financial capital agglomeration is still the main driver of coupling vulnerability reduction.Construct the spatial econometric model to consider the effects of spatial heterogeneity: coupling vulnerability shows a significant spatial agglomeration state,which has a positive spillover effect, talent agglomeration can reduce the coupling vulnerability of surrounding areas, while financial capital agglomeration plays a blocking effect.