颠覆性技术遴选是在一定范围内对颠覆性技术的发展现状和未来趋势进行预测识别和评价判断的行为，其目的是确定未来国家军事、产业和经济发展重点并科学有效进行规划和部署。在深入研究国内外颠覆性技术遴选现状和预测评估理论基础上，结合我国发展实际，从理论上研究了颠覆性技术遴选评价的体系框架，提出颠覆性技术遴选的基本思路和运行流程。

Disruptive technology selection is the behavior of predicting, identifying, evaluating and judging the development status and future trend of subversive technology within a certain range. Its purpose is to determine the future national military, industrial and economic development priorities and plan scientifically and effectively.Based on the in-depth study of domestic and foreign disruptive technology selection status and prediction and evaluation theory, combined with China's development practice, this paper studies the system framework of disruptive technology selection and evaluation in theory, and puts forward the basic ideas and operation process of disruptive technology selection.

国家自然科学基金面上项目“新型研发机构的形成机理、治理机制和政策研究：创新价值链视角”（71673062）；广东省哲学社会科学规划青年项目“企业双元创新推动主导设计形成：情境与制度因素视角”（GD19YGL04）；广州市哲学社会科学发展“十三五”规划项目“广州实施创新驱动推动广州经济转向高质量发展阶段研究：基于颠覆性创新的视角”（2018GZQN30）国家科技评估中心评估研究2019年专项“新型研发机构评估研究”