广东省生态文明建设与产业升级的耦合协调发展

Coupling Relationship Between Ecological Civilization Construction and Industrial Upgrade: A Case of Guangdong Province

摘要:

本文基于生态文明建设和产业升级的综合评价指标体系,利用耦合分析模型,探究广东省21个地级市2000-2017年的生态文明建设与产业升级间的耦合协调发展关系及时空演变特征。结果表明：①耦合协调度层面,整体经历了“磨合走高、拮抗磨合交替、磨合协调主导”三个阶段且处于“拮抗、磨合、协调”阶段的地级市数量呈现“两头窄,中间宽”的梭型态势,形成以珠江三角洲地区为中心的放射状；②耦合相对发展度层面,整体经历了“滞后主导、同步赶超、厚积薄发”三个阶段且处于“超前、同步、滞后”状态的地级市数量呈现“三角形”态势,形成以沿海地级市为核心向外扩散的趋势；③耦合协调发展类型层面,主要集中于Ⅳ、Ⅴ和Ⅶ三种类型,且沿海地区的耦合协调发展类型相对更优。最后,基于广东省整体、地区和地级市层面分别提出了相应的政策建议。

Abstract:

Based on the evaluation index system of ecological civilization construction and industrial upgrade, this paper analyses the coupling relationship between ecological civilization construction and industrial upgrade of 21 cities in Guangdong province from 2000 to 2017 by coupling model. The results show that: ①Coupling coordination level, Guangdong has gone through “the running-in stage moving forward, the antagonism and the running-in stage alternating, the running-in and the coordination stage leading the road”. Besides, the quantities of cities in “the antagonism stage, the running-in stage, the coordination stage” presented a characteristic of “two narrow, middle wide” and form a radial pattern centered on the Pearl River Delta. ②Relative development level, Guangdong has gone through “most cities remained a delay status, cities with a synchronized status catching up, cities with a synchronized status still rising abruptly”. Besides, the quantities of cities with “statuses in advance, statuses in synchronize, statuses in delay” presented a characteristic of “the structure of triangle step” and the trend of spreading outward is formed with cities in coastal zones as the core. ③Types of the coupled coordination development level, most cities are in type Ⅳ, Ⅴ and Ⅶ, and the types of coastal cities are more high-class. Finally, this paper proposes relevant policy recommendations from the province, the district and the city level.