海南省科技创新与区域经济的耦合协调分析

Analysis on the Coupling and Coordination of Science and Technology Innovation and Regional Economy in Hainan Province

摘要:

采用2009－2018年海南省数据构建科技创新环境和经济子系统综合水平评价指标体系，采用主成分分析法分别评测海南省创新环境和区域经济的综合水平，使用耦合协调度模型进一步测算二者的宏观耦合关系，并应用灰色关联度法考察经济系统各指标对创新环境的影响，借以揭示指标层面的微观耦合机制。研究发现：海南省整体创新环境和区域经济水平均在不断提升，两系统经历了由劣质高耦合、中等高耦合到优质高耦合三阶段，从极度不协调发展到高度协调；经济因素中，地区生产总值等一般经济环境因素对创新环境影响最强，高技术产业对创新环境的影响最弱。提出海南省值得引起海内外创新人才的关注，要进一步提升创新环境水平，应首先致力于发展区域经济，给高技术产业以更多支持、促使其发挥更大的创新影响，进一步促进科技创新与区域经济耦合协调发展等建议。

Abstract:

Based on the data of Hainan Province from 2009 to 2018, this paper constructs a comprehensive level evaluation index system of scientific and technological innovation environment and economic subsystem respectively, evaluates the comprehensive level of innovation environment and regional economy in Hainan Province by principal component analysis method, further calculates the macro coupling relationship between the two by using the coupling coordination degree model, and uses the grey correlation degree method to investigate the impact of various indicators of the economic system on the innovation environment, so as to reveal the micro coupling mechanism at the index level. It is found that the overall innovation environment and regional economic level of Hainan Province are constantly improving, the two systems have experienced three stages: from poor-quality high coupling, medium-quality high coupling to high-quality high coupling, from extremely uncoordinated to highly coordinated; among the economic factors, general economic environmental factors such as regional GDP have the strongest impact on the innovation environment, high-tech industry has the weakest impact on innovation environment. According to this, the paper puts forward that Hainan Province deserves the attention of innovative talents at home and abroad; in order to improve Hainan's innovation environment, we should first devote ourselves to the development of regional economy; give more support to high-tech industries to promote their greater innovation impact; and further promote the coordinated development of Hainan's scientific and technological innovation and regional economy, etc.