Abstract:Based on the stochastic demand, this paper studies the outsourcing decision-making problem of global production supply chain, which is composed of an overseas integrated manufacturer, an international transportation service provider and a local parts supplier. The influences of manufacturing cost, transportation cost, and tariff cost and export subsidy on the decision-making of global production are analyzed quantitatively. The independent master-slave decision-making model and alliance master-slave decision-making model are established successively, and the impact of income analysis and cost sharing on decision-making is analyzed. The research shows that the increase of the cost of any link in the global supply chain will lead to the decrease of the order quantity of overseas integrated manufacturers. Alliance game can improve the performance of global supply chain. The increase of tariff rate will reduce the profits of all parties and the overall profits of the global supply chain, and weaken the leading position of suppliers in the global supply chain. Export subsidies will increase the profits of all parties and the overall profits of the global supply chain, and strengthen the position of suppliers in the global supply chain. Revenue sharing can improve the performance of the global supply chain. However, only tariff cost sharing or transportation cost sharing cannot improve the performance of the whole global supply chain, but will worsen the performance of the global supply chain.