基于风险损失因素的设计结构矩阵项目管理方法研究

Research on Project Management Method of Design Structure Matrix Based on Risk Loss Factors

摘要:

项目管理长期存在项目任务数量繁多、任务关系复杂，并行效率低下的问题。传统的项目管理方法不能直观表示任务关系，无法对风险耦合较高的项目任务进行识别、解耦工作，产生项目管理的进度与成本风险损失，严重影响任务并行实施效果。针对此问题，本文提出利用数值设计结构矩阵表达项目任务关系，构建风险概率矩阵与风险损失矩阵对项目总体预计风险损失值进行评估，使用遗传算法对项目预计风险损失值最低流程进行求解。本文通过空间科学任务并行设计项目流程优化项目实证，论证该模型解耦寻优方法的可行性。

Abstract:

Project management has long faced the problems of a large number of project tasks, complex task relationships, and low parallel efficiency. Traditional project management methods cannot visually express task relationships, and cannot identify and decouple project tasks with high risk coupling, resulting in loss of project management schedule and cost risks, which seriously affects the effect of parallel implementation of tasks. In response to this problem, this paper proposes to use the numerical design structure matrix to express the project task relationship, construct the risk probability matrix and the risk loss matrix to evaluate the overall project risk loss value, and use the genetic algorithm to solve the process of the lowest project risk loss value. This article demonstrates the feasibility of the model's decoupling optimization method through the demonstration of the space science task parallel design project process optimization project.