企业技术搜寻行为与自主创新能力共演机制仿真分析

Co-evolution Mechanism Simulation Analysis on Enterprise Technology-Seeking Behaviors and Self-determined Innovation Capability

摘要:

对企业自主创新能力和技术搜寻行为进行细分，有助于企业寻求适配其自主创新能力发展阶段的技术搜寻策略。以系统观、知识观和能力观为基础构建“触发因素→技术搜寻→自主创新能力”的系统动力学模型，并利用Vensim软件对该模型进行仿真模拟，发现了企业技术搜寻行为与自主创新能力的共演机制：（1）在环境动荡性与创新意愿两大动因作用下，企业技术搜寻行为与自主创新能力共演过程具有交互式和非线性特征；（2）伴随企业自主创新能力从基础阶段发展到高级阶段，超前技术搜寻、新兴科学技术搜寻和新兴经验技术搜寻的作用逐渐增大，而成熟技术搜寻作用不断降低；（3）环境动荡性对企业自主创新能力具有负向调节作用，企业创新意愿对自主创新能力具有正向调节作用。基于研究结论，提出在实践中企业需要根据自主创新能力发展阶段匹配相应技术搜寻策略，在技术搜寻过程中加强知识积累，注意自身内部调整与外部环境平衡，以及制定实施积极的创新意愿引导策略等对策建议。

Abstract:

It is helpful for enterprises to subdivide the self-determined innovation capability and technology-seeking behaviors in choosing the matched technology-seeking strategies with the development stage of self-determined innovation capability. Based on the system view, knowledge-based view and competence-based view, this paper constructs a system dynamics model of "trigger factors→technology-seeking behaviors→self-determined innovation capability". By using Vensim software to simulate the model, this research finds the co-evolution mechanism of enterprise technology-seeking behaviors and self-determined innovation capability. The results show: (1) Under the influence of environmental turbulence and innovation willingness, the co-evolution process of technology-seeking behaviors and self-determined innovation capability has interactive and nonlinear characteristics; (2) With the development of self-determined innovation capability from the basic stage to the advanced stage, the effects of advanced technology-seeking, emerging science technology-seeking and emerging experience technology-seeking behaviors are increasing, while the role of mature technology-seeking behavior continues to decrease; (3) Environmental turbulence has a negative regulating effect on self-determined innovation capability, while innovation willingness has a positive regulating effect on self-determined innovation capability. Based on the research conclusions, this paper proposes that enterprises need to select the technology-seeking strategies matching the development stage of self-determined innovation capability, strengthen knowledge accumulation in the process of seeking technology, pay attention to the balance between internal adjustment and external environment, and formulate and implement positive innovation willingness guidance strategies.