基于SWOT-AHP分析模型的科技发展战略实证分析 ——来自广东的案例研究

Strategic Analysis on the Scientific and Technological Innovation Based on SWOT-AHP Method：Taking Guangdong Province as an Example

摘要:

在新科技全球化和新一轮科技产业革命背景下，在粤港澳大湾区、深圳中国特色社会主义先行示范区“双区叠加”国家重大战略机遇下，研究探索广东科技创新发展新路径具有重要现实意义。基于SWOT-AHP分析模型，以广东“十四五”时期科技创新发展情况为样本，将优势、劣势、机遇和挑战作为准则层，明确16个因素为指标层，将各因素重要程度量化并计算权重，绘制战略四边形判断战略总体方向。结果表明，广东科技创新处于SO开拓战略区内的机会型策略区，应实施积极开拓型战略，推动广东区域创新能力跃升，成为我国迈向创新型国家前列的重要战略支点。

Abstract:

Under the background of the globalization of new technology and the new round of technological industrial revolution, under the major national strategic opportunity of the “dual superposition” of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area and the Shenzhen Pilot Demonstration Zone of Socialism with Chinese Characteristics, it is important to explore a new path for technological innovation and development in Guangdong Realistic meaning. Based on the SWOT-AHP analysis model, taking Guangdong’s “14th Five-Year Plan” period scientific and technological innovation development as a sample, taking advantages, disadvantages, opportunities and challenges as the criterion layer, clarifying 16 factors as the indicator layer, quantifying and calculating the importance of each factor Weight, draw the strategic quadrilateral to judge the overall direction of the strategy. The results show that Guangdong science and technology innovation is generally located in the opportunistic strategic area of the SO development strategic zone. It should implement pioneering strategies to promote the leap of Guangdong's regional innovation capabilities.