广东省能源强度下降科技路径研究

Research on Declining Path of Energy Consumption IntensityReduction in Guangdong

摘要:

在“十四五”规划纲要的能源“双控”目标里,广东省单位GDP能耗到2025年需下降13.5%。在节能技术没有重大突破的情况下,广东省亟需挖掘能源强度下降潜力并找到能源强度下降可行的科技路径。本文首先概述广东省能源利用情况并对广东能源强度水平进行分析；其次,从能源结构、产业结构、第二产业内部优化和新兴能源产业发展出发,分析省能源强度下降潜力；最后从三次产业结构调整、工业行业节能改造和新兴能源产业技术创新三方面,给出“十四五”时期广东能源强度下降的科技路径,产业结构优化调整和能源产业技术创新将是广东省能源强度下降目标顺利实现的关键。

Abstract:

In the energy "dual control" target outlined in the 14th Five-Year Plan, Energy consumption per unit of GDP in Guangdong Province will have to fall by 13.5% by 2025. In the absence of a major breakthrough in energy-saving technology, Guangdong Province urgently needs to tap the potential of energy intensity decline and find a feasible technical path to reduce energy intensity. This paper firstly summarizes the energy utilization situation in Guangdong Province and analyzes the energy intensity level of Guangdong Province, secondly, analyzes the potential of energy intensity declining in Guangdong Province from the internal optimization of energy structure, industrial structure and secondary industry structure, and finally, from the three industries structure adjustment, the internal structure optimization of the secondary industry, energy-saving technological transformation and technological progress in emerging energy industries, gives the optimal technical decline path of Energy Intensity in Guangdong Province during the 14th Five-Year Plan period. The optimization and adjustment of industrial structure and energy technology progress will be the key to the successful realization of the energy intensity reduction target of Guangdong Province.