浙江省“双创”发展水平的综合评价及其影响因素分析

Comprehensive Evaluation of the Development Level of

摘要:

本文首先采用嫁接的层次分析法-决策试验与评价实验室(AHP- DEMATEL)就浙江“双创”发展的水平进行了综合评价与比较,进而采用面板回归方法就其影响因素进行了实证分析,解释了其特征的形成原因。结果表明：(1)样本期内,浙江省整体的“双创”发展水平在不断提升,并且各地区的“双创”发展水平呈上升之势。其中,杭州的 “双创”综合指数最高,宁波的“双创”综合指数屈居第二,舟山的“双创”综合指数相对最低；浙江大湾区内的“双创”水平要高于全省“双创”发展的平均水平,同时也要高于高于浙江大湾区外的“双创”发展的平均水平。(2)证实了信贷水平、工资收入水平、互联网发展以及道路基础设施等因素均有利于浙江省“双创”发展水平的提高。比较而言,信贷水平和互联网发展因素更加有利于浙江大湾区内的“双创”发展,工资收入水平和道路基础设施则更加有利于浙江大湾区外的“双创”发展。

Abstract:

This paper first adopts hybrid decision making trial and evaluation laboratory (DEMATEL)-analytical hierarchy process (AHP) and panel regression method to comprehensively evaluate and compare the development level of "mass entrepreneurship and innovation" (MEI) in Zhejiang province and then uses the panel regression method to conduct an empirical analysis of its influencing factors. It further explains the reason for its characteristics. The results show that: (1) during the sample period, the overall development of MEI in Zhejiang province is constantly improving, and the comprehensive evaluation index of MEI in 11 regiond have all increased. Among them, Hangzhou has the highest MEI index, Ningbo comes second, Zhoushan has the lowest MEI index. The MEI index in the Greater Bay Area of Zhejiang is higher than that of MEI index in Zhejiang province, and also higher than the average level of MEI outside the Greater Bay Area of Zhejiang province. (2) It is confirmed that factors such as credit level, salarySincome, the Internet development, as well as factors such as road infrastructure, are beneficial to the MEI development in Zhejiang province. In comparison, the credit level and Internet development are more conducive to the MEI development in the Greater Bay Area of Zhejiang, while the salarySincome and road infrastructure level are more conducive to MEI development outside of the Greater Bay Area of Zhejiang province.