环境规制对碳排放影响研究进展及未来展望

Research progress and future prospect of the impact of environmental regulation on carbon emission

摘要:

环境管制对碳排放的作用效果是资源环境领域持续的热点之一。文章分别从环境规制的概念、理论研究和实证研究三个方面,评述和总结了环境规制对碳排放影响的国内外研究进展。在此基础上提出了“双碳”目标下中国环境规制对碳排放的影响研究展望。现有环境规制对碳排放影响理论研究主要围绕“抑制效应”和“绿色悖论”,如何避免“绿色悖论”发挥“倒逼效应”成为未来理论研究的重点。环境规制工具有效性、环境规制工具选择以及环境规制对碳排放影响的作用路径三方面是当前实证研究的重点。其中,市场激励型和非政府环境规制的是环境规制工具有效性当前研究的重点；在选择规制工具时,区域和行业差异性越发得到学界重视；环境规制对碳排放影响的路径研究,热点集中在低碳技术创新、产业结构以及外商投资。文章最后就环境规制对碳排放影响的未来发展方向进行了展望。我们认为既有对于环境规制对碳排放的研究更多关注环境规制对碳排放的因果效应,而对其环境规制的政策效果和传导机制缺乏研究；此外,差异化政策制定、二氧化碳与其他污染物协同减排以及环境规制对碳总量的减排是未来研究的重点。

关键词:环境规制;碳排放;理论研究;实证进展;研究展望

Abstract:

the effect of environmental regulation on carbon emission is one of the hot spots in the field of resources and environment. Based on the definition and types of environmental regulation, this paper reviews and summarizes the research progress of the impact of environmental regulation on carbon emission at home and abroad from two aspects of theoretical discussion and empirical test, and puts forward the research prospect of the impact of China"s environmental regulation on carbon emission under the goal of "double carbon". The existing theoretical research focuses on the "forced effect" and "green paradox" of environmental regulation on carbon emissions, and no unanimous conclusion has been reached. How to avoid the "green paradox" and give full play to the "forced effect" of environmental regulation has become the focus of theoretical research in the future. The existing empirical research is carried out from three aspects: the effectiveness of environmental regulation tools, the choice of environmental regulation tools and the impact path of environmental regulation on carbon emissions. Among them, market incentive and non-governmental environmental regulation are the focus of the current research on the effectiveness of environmental regulation tools; When choosing regulatory tools, regional and industrial differences have been paid more and more attention by academic circles; The research on the path of the impact of environmental regulation on carbon emissions focuses on low-carbon technological innovation, industrial structure and foreign investment. Finally, the future development direction of the impact of environmental regulation on carbon emission is prospected. We believe that the existing research on the impact of environmental regulation on carbon emissions pays more attention to the causal effect of environmental regulation on carbon emissions, but there is a lack of research on the policy effect and transmission mechanism of environmental regulation; In addition, the formulation of differentiated policies, the collaborative emission reduction of carbon dioxide and other pollutants and the emission reduction of total carbon by environmental regulation are the focus of future research.

Key words:environmental regulation; Carbon emissions; Theoretical research;empirical progress