基于五螺旋理论，评价2008年～2019年30省份绿色创新系统耦合协调时空分布规律。以大陆30个省级行政区域为研究对象，运用空间杜宾模型探讨影响绿色创新系统耦合协调的主要因素。结果表明：在时间维度上，中国各省绿色创新系统耦合协调度呈逐年上升态势。在空间维度上，绿色创新系统耦合协调度呈现东部>中部>西部>东北的特征，省份间耦合协调度差距增大。只有部分发达省份已步入耦合协调阶段，各子系统间已出现相互促进态势。多数省份仍旧处于耦合失调状态，各子系统间消极互动显著。研究发现：市场化水平、对外开放水平和城镇化水平对绿色创新系统耦合协调有显著提升和空间溢出效应。财政自主度、产业结构高级化对绿色创新系统耦合协调水平影响不显著。未来，各省应结合自身资源禀赋，利用高水平绿色创新耦合协调省份的市场化水平、对外开放水平和城镇化水平的正向溢出效应，推动本地区绿色创新系统协调发展。

Based on the five helix theory, we evaluated the spatial～temporal distribution law of coupling and coordination of green innovation system in 30 provinces from 2008 to 2019. Taking 30 provincial administrative regions in mainland China as the research object, we used spatial Dobbin model to explore the main factors affecting the coupling and coordination of green innovation system. The results show that in the time dimension, the coupling and coordination degree of green innovation system in Chinese provinces is increasing year by year. In the spatial dimension, the coupling coordination degree of green innovation system presents the characteristics of East > Central > West > Northeast, and the gap of coupling coordination degree among provinces increases. Only some developed provinces have entered the coupling and coordination stage, and there has been a trend of mutual promotion among subsystems. Most provinces are still in the state of coupling imbalance, and the negative interaction between subsystems is significant. It is found that the level of marketing, openness and urbanization have a significant improvement and spatial spillover effect on the coupling and coordination of green innovation system. Financial autonomy and industrial structure upgrading have no significant impact on the coupling and coordination level of green innovation system. In the future, all provinces should combine their own resource endowments and make use of the coupling of high level green innovation to coordinate the positive spillover effects of provincial marketing level, opening up level and urbanization level, so as to promote the coordinated development of green innovation system in the region.

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国家社科基金后期资助项目:财政竞争与环境污染治理研究(项目编号18FGL005)