中国氢能标准化对企业创新扩散是促进还是约束？ 基于演化博弈模型视角的研究

Does the standardization of hydrogen energy in China promote or constrain the diffusion of innovation by firms: A study based on the perspective of evolutionary game model

摘要:

双碳目标下，氢能是构建我国清洁可持续发展能源体系不可或缺的一部分，随着《氢能汽车用燃料 液氢》等三项标准正式发布并实施，我国氢能现行国家标准达到98项，已初步构建较为完善的氢能标准体系。在产业生命周期曲线的上升期，对于在市场中探索并将创新技术扩散的氢能企业，氢能标准化对其是促进还是约束是一个值得思考的现实问题。本研究基于演化博弈视角，构建氢能标准化与企业创新扩散的演化博弈模型，并引进一个自然参与人进行海萨尼转换检验，发现氢能标准化与企业创新扩散在博弈中选取合作，并获得额外的行业有序繁荣奖励时，双方收益最大化，此时氢能标准化可指导产业发展、降低交易成本并增强市场竞争力，企业创新并进行技术扩散也会反作用于氢能标准迭代更新。

Abstract:

Under the dual-carbon goal, hydrogen energy is an indispensable part of the construction of my country’s clean and sustainable energy system. With the official release and implementation of three standards such as "Liquid Hydrogen Fuel for Hydrogen Vehicles", my country’s current hydrogen energy standards have reached 98 Item, a relatively complete hydrogen energy standard system has been initially established. In the rising period of the industrial life cycle curve, for hydrogen energy companies that are exploring and spreading innovative technologies in the market, whether hydrogen energy standardization promotes or restricts it is a realistic question worth thinking about. Based on the perspective of evolutionary game, this study constructs an evolutionary game model of hydrogen energy standardization and enterprise innovation diffusion, and introduces a natural participant to carry out the Hassani conversion test. It is found that hydrogen energy standardization and enterprise innovation diffusion select cooperation strategies in the game, and When additional rewards for the orderly prosperity of the industry are obtained, both parties maximize their benefits. At this time, hydrogen energy standardization can guide industrial development, reduce transaction costs, and enhance market competitiveness. Enterprise innovation and technology diffusion will also counteract the iterative update of hydrogen energy standardization.