基于系统动力学的沪江浙皖绿色创新竞争力动态仿真研究

Dynamic Simulation Research on Green Innovation Competitiveness of Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Anhui Based on System Dynamics

摘要:

创新驱动和绿色发展战略结合的绿色创新理念为长三角一体化高质量发展注入了新动力。鉴于绿色创新竞争力系统的复杂性,通过构建创新投入、创新资源、生态环境和创新产出四个子系统的绿色创新竞争力指标体系,结合系统动力学理论构建绿色创新竞争力系统仿真模型。以长三角沪江浙皖四省(市)为研究区域,动态仿真研究四省(市)的绿色创新竞争力演变趋势,分析比较关键变量,明确四省(市)绿色创新竞争力的差异与优势。研究结果表明：各变量的变化趋势均有利于绿色创新竞争力的提升,整体指标状况优良,绿色创新效益显著。江苏省的绿色创新竞争力综合水平最高,浙江省的绿色创新竞争力综合水平与上海市基本相近,安徽省处于最低位置。四省(市)在绿色创新竞争力的不同维度分别占据优势。

Abstract:

The green innovation concept combining innovation-driven and green development strategies has infused new impetus into the high-quality development of the Yangtze River Delta integration. In view of the complexity of the green innovation competitiveness system, the green innovation competitiveness index system of the four subsystems of innovation input, innovation resources, ecological environment and innovation output is constructed, and the green innovation competitiveness system simulation model is constructed based on the system dynamics theory. Taking the four provinces(cities) of Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Anhui in Yangtze River Delta as the research area, this study studies the evolution trend of green innovation competitiveness of the four provinces(cities) by dynamic simulation, analyzes and compares the key variables, and clarifies the differences and advantages of green innovation competitiveness of the four provinces(cities).The results show that the change trend of each variable is conducive to the improvement of the competitiveness of green innovation. The overall index is in good condition and the green innovation benefit is remarkable. The comprehensive level of green innovation competitiveness of Jiangsu Province is the highest, that of Zhejiang Province is close to that of Shanghai, and that of Anhui Province is the lowest. The four provinces(cities) have advantages in different dimensions of green innovation competitiveness.