产业结构、环境规制与绿色发展效应研究——基于广东面板数据的实证分析

Study on the Effect of Industrial Structure , Environmental Regulation and Green Development:Empirical Analysis Based on Guangdong’s Panel Data

摘要:

基于政策协同的视角,利用2006—2019年广东省21个地级市的面板数据,实证研究产业结构与环境规制的绿色发展效应、区域异质性和传导机制。研究发现：提高产业结构高级化显著增强广东全域和珠三角地区绿色发展水平,但沿海经济带和北部生态区尚不见明显的促进作用；环境规制不仅直接影响绿色发展,还对产业结构高级化和绿色发展的关系存在差异化的调节效应,即沿海经济带与北部生态区环境规制促进了产业结构对绿色发展的正向影响,但在珠三角地区则相反；环境规制与绿色发展的关系存在以产业结构高级化为门槛变量的单一门槛,当产业结构处于低水平提升阶段,适度的环境标准有利于绿色发展水平的提高；当产业结构处于高水平提升阶段,绿色发展水平随着环境规制强度的提升而下降。

Abstract:

Based on the perspective of policy coordination, using the panel data of 21 cities of Guangdong province from 2006 to 2019, this paper makes an empirical analysis on industrial structure and environmental regulation’s green development effect, regional heterogeneity and transmission mechanism. The results show that: The upgrading of industrial structure significantly enhanced the green development level of Guangdong and the Pearl River Delta region, but the coastal economic belt and the northern ecological zone do not significantly promote the green development. Environmental regulation not only directly affects green development, but also has differentiated moderating effect on the relationship between industrial structure upgrading and green development. That is, environmental regulation promotes the positive impact of industrial structure on green development in the coastal economic belt and the northern ecological zone, but the opposite in the Pearl River Delta region. There is a single threshold in the relationship between environmental regulation and green development, taking the industrial structure advanced as threshold variable. When the industrial structure is in a low level of upgrading stage, moderate environmental standards are conductive to the improvement of green development level. When the industrial structure is in a high level, the level of green development decreases with the increase of environmental regulation intensity.