基于TAM/TPB整合模型的内陆核电站重启公众接受度研究

Study on Public Acceptance of Restart of Inland Nuclear Power Plants Based on TAM/TPB Integration Model

摘要:

核能作为一种高效、清洁的能源，是实现碳达峰碳中和目标的重要途径，在保障国家能源安全方面发挥着重要作用。我国仅在沿海地区布局和建设核电，选址受限，制约核能可持续发展，也难以缓解内陆省份经济快速发展与能源结构不合理之间的矛盾。重启内陆核电站，最大难点不是建设的“硬指标”，而是公众是否接受这一“硬条件”。整合技术接受模型和计划行为理论，并引入感知风险和信任，建立理论模型，以湖南省桃花江核电站周边居民实地调查为基础，探讨感知有用、感知风险、主观规范、行为态度、感知行为控制和信任对公众接受内陆核电重启的影响。研究结果表明，感知有用、行为态度和信任对内陆核电重启公众接受度有显著正向影响，感知风险对其存在显著负向影响；内陆核电重启公众接受度与主观规范、感知行为控制不存在显著相关性；感知有用对行为态度和信任有积极作用。

Abstract:

As an efficient and clean energy source, nuclear energy is an important way to achieve the goal of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality, and plays an important role in ensuring national energy security. China only distributes and builds nuclear power in coastal areas, and its location is limited, which restricts the sustainable development of nuclear energy, and it is also difficult to alleviate the contradiction between the rapid economic development and unreasonable energy structure of inland provinces. The biggest difficulty in restarting inland nuclear power plants is not the “hard target” of construction, but whether the public accepts this “hard condition”. This paper integrates the technical acceptance model and planned behavior theory, introduces perceived risk and trust, and establishes a theoretical model based on the field survey of residents around Taohuajiang Nuclear Power Plant in Hunan Province to explore the impact of perceived usefulness, perceived risk, subjective norms, behavior attitude, perceived behavior control and trust on public acceptance of inland nuclear power restart. The research results show that perceived usefulness, behavioral attitude and trust have a significant positive impact on public acceptance of inland nuclear power restart, and perceived risk has a significant negative impact on it; public acceptance of inland nuclear power restart is not related to subjective norm, perceived behavior control. There was a significant correlation; perceived usefulness had a positive effect on behavioral attitudes and trust.