基于系统动力学的种业国际化知识产权风险研究

Research on Intellectual Property Risk of Seed Industry InternationalizationBased on System Dynamics

摘要:

国际化发展是中国种业振兴必由之路,为此将面临更多、更复杂的知识产权风险。本文在界定种业国际化知识产权风险影响因素的基础上,运用系统动力学方法构建风险研究模型,仿真模拟种业国际化知识产权风险的动态变化,探究各类影响因素之间及其对于种业国际化知识产权风险的作用关系。研究表明,种业国际化知识产权风险是一个复杂的动态系统,整体风险存在显著的累积效应；知识产权运营风险对整体风险的影响最大也最突出,各类子系统风险交织共振导致整体风险叠加扩大；各类子系统风险均与整体风险变化正相关,整体风险对知识产权特性风险和环境风险变化更加敏感。为了有效管理种业国际化知识产权风险,中国种业应采取强化风险预警和前馈控制、夯实知识产权运营能力、提高企业自主创新水平、实施区域差异化风险管理等措施。

Abstract:

International development is the inevitable course for the promotion of Chinese seed industry, which will face more and more complex intellectual property risks. On the basis of defining the factors affecting the risk of intellectual property rights in the internationalization of seed industry, using the method of system dynamics to build a risk research model, simulating the dynamic change of intellectual property risk in the internationalization of seed industry, explore the relationship between various influencing factors and their impact on the overall risk. The research shows that the international intellectual property risk of seed industry is a complex dynamic system, the risk of each subsystem varies greatly and there is a risk superposition effect；intellectual property operation risk has the greatest and most prominent impact on the overall risk; the overall risk is sensitive to intellectual property characteristic risk and environmental risk. In order to effectively manage the intellectual property risk of seed industry internationalization, Chinese seed industry should take measures such as strengthening risk early warning and feedforward control, consolidating the operation ability of intellectual property rights, improving the level of independent innovation of enterprises, and implementing regional differentiated risk management.