本文剖析创新生态系统健康度对技术突破与产业结构升级的影响机理,构建固定效应与门槛效应模型,收集2009-2020年我国30个省市区健康度、技术突破与产业结构升级的相关数据,准确测度各区域的创新生态系统健康度,及其通过技术突破对产业结构升级的影响效应。发现：(1)从空间视角看,健康度存在地理上非均衡性。(2)从时间视角上看,健康度发展模式可分为稳定型、波动型、提升型和下降型。(3)健康度对技术突破与产业结构升级均有促进作用。(4)技术突破正向调节健康度促进产业结构升级、健康度正向调节技术突破促进产业结构升级,且调节效应边际递增。

This paper analyzes the influence mechanism of innovation ecosystem health on technological breakthroughs and industrial structure upgrading, constructs fixed effect and threshold effect models, collects relevant data on health, technological breakthroughs and industrial structure upgrading in 30 provinces and municipalities in China from 2009 to 2020, accurately measures the health of innovation ecosystems in various regions, and its impact on industrial structure upgrading through technological breakthroughs. Findings: (1) From a spatial perspective, there is a geographical imbalance in health. (2) From the perspective of time, the health development model can be divided into stable, fluctuating, improving and declining. (3) Health has a promoting effect on technological breakthroughs and industrial structure upgrading. (4) Technological breakthroughs positively regulate health to promote industrial structure upgrading, and health positive regulation technology breakthroughs promote industrial structure upgrading, and the regulatory effect increases marginally.

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2021年度江苏省社科基金重点项目（21GLA004）：“江苏高新技术企业关键核心技术的形成路径和攻关模式研究”;江苏省软科学研究项目（BR2022056）:“江苏高新技术产业创新联合体组织模式与路径研究”。