挣值管理在项目完工预测中的应用与改进：研究综述

Application and improvement of Earned Value Management in Project completion prediction: A review

摘要:

项目完工预测是挣值管理的重要功能,但现有研究还存在只考虑成本与进度两个因素、仅依赖过去绩效表现等问题,使得预测结果与实际情况相比出现偏差。本研究通过文献调研,对现有应用挣值管理进行项目完工预测的研究进行综述,从改进绩效指数的准确性与集成风险因素的影响两个角度进行了系统性梳理,总结了现有研究的优势与局限性,以期为未来研究指明方向。

Abstract:

Project completion prediction is an important function of earned value management, but there are some problems in the existing research, such as only considering the two factors of cost and schedule and relying on the past performance, which lead to the deviation between the predicted results and the actual situation. Through literature research, this study reviewed the existing researches on project completion prediction using earned value management, systematically sorted out the accuracy of improved performance index and the influence of integrated risk factors, and summarized the advantages and limitations of the existing researches in order to point out the direction for future research.