Abstract:Considering that there is currently a lack of research on the evolution of collaborative low-carbon innovation behavior between suppliers and manufacturers in the supply chain of manufacturing clusters, which includes three factors: government environmental regulations, intra chain enterprise cooperation contracts, and consumer green preferences, in the same analytical framework. In order to further promote the green transformation of China's manufacturing clusters, the focus is on the secondary structure composed of supplier enterprises and manufacturer enterprises in the cluster supply chain, Taking government behavior, intra chain contracts, and consumer feedback as factors influencing the selection of low-carbon innovation strategies for enterprises, a game model is constructed to analyze the long-term optimal equilibrium strategies of both parties. The impact of key parameters on the evolution path of the game system is discussed through case numerical simulation analysis. Through model deduction, it is found that when two types of enterprises engage in low-carbon innovation, the sum of the four of the increase in consumer willingness to pay, the difference in revenue growth between joint low-carbon innovation and unilateral low-carbon innovation by both parties in the game, the carbon tax deduction amount, and the penalty for breach of contract by the other party are greater than the net expenditure on low-carbon innovation research and development by the enterprise, the long-term equilibrium strategy of both parties in the game is {low-carbon innovation}; the numerical simulation results indicate that when the net expenditure on low-carbon innovation research and development is lower, the penalty for breach of contract is higher, and the consumer's green preference is stronger, the enterprise is more inclined to choose the {low-carbon innovation} equilibrium strategy; the change in carbon tax rate has no significant impact on the equilibrium strategy of enterprises. Based on this, countermeasures and suggestions are proposed for formulating scientific environmental regulation policies, constructing reasonable intra chain cooperation contracts, and focusing on cultivating consumer green preferences, in order to provide reference for achieving long-term collaborative low-carbon innovation between suppliers and manufacturers.