面向未来产业构建的氢能产业关键核心技术识别方法研究

Identification Method of Key Core Technologies in the Hydrogen Energy Industry for Future Industry Construction

摘要:

识别未来产业创新链中的关键核心技术，有助于超前布局一批产业技术攻关项目，形成未来产业发展先发优势，进而构建以未来产业为引领的现代化产业体系。氢能产业正处于产业爆发的前夕，但目前已有相关技术分析存在数据完整性不够、数据相对陈旧等问题，缺乏定量的技术评估和明确的关键核心技术识别结果。因此，从面向未来产业的创新决策需求出发，聚焦关键核心技术对未来氢能产业的支撑性和引领性，基于相关的全球专利数据，利用新的专利交叉影响分析方法（NPCIA）计算技术影响力，构建结合技术影响力和新颖性的产业关键核心技术识别方法。以2015年碳中和政策正式提出以来的全球氢能产业专利数据为样本，识别出构建氢能产业未来优势需重点关注的关键技术，主要包括以电解水为代表的绿氢制取技术，以固态储氢介质和碳纤维复合材料为代表的储氢材料技术，以交通和储能等为重点场景的氢能加注技术，以燃料电池为核心的氢能应用技术，以及影响全产业链发展的氢安全和智能化配套技术等。该方法立足未来产业构建的情境需求，实现技术影响力和新颖性并重的关键核心技术识别，以期为未来产业发展重点方向凝练、关键核心技术攻关项目布局决策提供方法支撑。

Abstract:

Currently, rapidly developing future industries such as artificial intelligence, future networks, life engineering, and hydrogen energy are driving the transformation of the entire industry system towards intelligence, greenness, and integration. This is leading to unprecedented development opportunities and challenges for the global economy. Identifying key core technologies in the innovation chain of future industries can help to advance the layout of a batch of industrial technology research and development projects, form a first mover advantage in future industrial development, and then build a modern industrial system led by future industries. The hydrogen energy industry is on the eve of the industrial explosion, but at present, there are some problems in the relevant technical analysis, such as insufficient data integrity, relatively old data, lack of quantitative technical evaluation and clear key core technology identification results. Therefore, starting from the demand for industrial innovation decision-making in the construction of future industries, focusing on the support and leadership of key core technologies for future industries, based on relevant global patent data, using the new patent cross-impact analysis method (NPCIA), a method for identifying industry key core technologies that combines technology influence and novelty is constructed. Taking the signing of The Paris Agreement in 2015 as a landmark event, global hydrogen industry patent data from 2015 to the present are selected from the PatSnap database as samples. Using these data, this paper identifies several key technologies that need to be focused on conducting excellent and leading research, which due to the active development of the hydrogen energy industry and the formation of future industrial advantages. These technologies mainly include green hydrogen production technology represented by electrolyzed water, hydrogen storage material technology represented by solid-state hydrogen storage media and carbon fiber composite materials, hydrogen refueling technology with transportation and energy storage as key scenarios, hydrogen application technology with fuel cells as the core, and hydrogen safety and intelligent supporting technologies that affect the development of the entire industry chain. This method is based on the situational needs of future industry construction, and is based on patent data analysis to achieve the identification of key core technologies that emphasize both technological influence and novelty. It aims to outline a technological roadmap for future industry development, which will provide methodological support for decision-making on condensing key directions and layout of key core technology research projects in future industrial development.