Abstract:Fiscal subsidies, as a policy instrument widely adopted by governments to incentivize enterprise innovation, have garnered significant attention from both academic and business communities regarding their actual effectiveness in enhancing innovation performance. However, current research has yet to reach a consensus on this critical issue. This study systematically reviews literature from 2013 to 2022 examining the relationship between fiscal subsidies and enterprise innovation performance, ultimately selecting 87 independent effect values from 75 publications with 995,614 independent empirical research samples. Employing meta-analysis and structural equation modeling methodologies, we conduct an in-depth examination while investigating key factors affecting the relationship between fiscal subsidies and innovation performance across different enterprise types. The findings reveal that fiscal subsidies indeed exert a significant positive effect on enterprise innovation performance, and this conclusion is validated through multidimensional measurements of outcome variables, demonstrating its robustness. Mediating effect tests further illuminate that fiscal subsidies can stimulate enterprises to increase R&D investment, thereby driving improvements in innovation performance. Group analysis indicates that the promotional effects of fiscal subsidies on innovation performance are more pronounced in manufacturing enterprises, non-state-owned enterprises, enterprises located in central and western regions of China, and those operating in high-technology fields. Based on these findings, this study recommends that governments should carefully evaluate subsidy recipients during policy implementation, fully consider the heterogeneity of enterprise ownership structures and geographic locations, implement differentiated subsidy strategies, and provide subsidies to enterprises that truly need and can effectively utilize them.